NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665aeaf7c90ad3e930b1a50db1399e8bc53b8ec22e8c1bacb186d7ffb5b9fe7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,123$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Knicks | 51c | 2,934$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.66 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Knicks | 54c | 2,790$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.33 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks | 51c | 2,485$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.65 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Knicks | 51c | 2,123$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.85 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,709$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,601$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 45c | 1,383$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,300$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.59 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.62 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Knicks | 52c | 999$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 57c | 799.25$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Knicks | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Knicks | 29c | 687.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 665.97$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.33 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Trail Blazers | 76c | 661.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Knicks | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 515.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Knicks | 50c | 513$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 503.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…e0eebacked Knicks | 51c | 470.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Knicks | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Knicks | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Knicks | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Knicks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 53c | 312$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks | 50c | 295.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks | 58c | 292.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Knicks | 52c | 288.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Knicks | 50c | 273.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Knicks | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 54c | 224$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 52c | 219$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Knicks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…ed46backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 54c | 188.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 177.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Knicks | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Knicks | 52c | 168.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Knicks | 38c | 168.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Knicks | 52c | 158.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Knicks | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Knicks | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 151.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Knicks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 133.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Knicks | 55c | 129.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…8b0ebacked Knicks | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Knicks | 54c | 110.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 109.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 97.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Knicks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Knicks | 54c | 92.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Knicks | 54c | 74.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 72.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 67.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 50c | 66.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Knicks | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Knicks | 52c | 57.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Knicks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Knicks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…5414backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Knicks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Knicks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks | 52c | 36.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…6610backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 31.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- Knicks vs. Trail BlazersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.