Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1c3dfa4feded8579a536d700ed3de6dd5fedee87bd734e765b038ee303dee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 74c | 24,488$18,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 7,512$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.12 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 7,004$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.13 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 6,701$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.21 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 28c | 3,567$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 71c | 3,002$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 73c | 2,743$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 2,723$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…a312backed Yes | 1c | 2,347$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 8c | 1,412$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 26c | 1,273$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,080$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 77c | 1,007$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 941.72$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 26c | 899.7$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 875.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 26c | 769.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 734.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 77c | 713$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 22c | 712.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 674.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 26c | 611$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked No | 72c | 563.26$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 8c | 535.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 79c | 335.62$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 323.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed Yes | 23c | 312.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 310$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 24c | 266.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 5c | 258.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed No | 69c | 255.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 34c | 253.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 250.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed No | 78c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 26c | 228.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 10c | 222$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 183.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 13c | 152$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…13b4backed No | 71c | 148.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 21c | 142.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 80c | 129.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 23c | 118.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 26c | 89.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 78c | 87.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Yes | 15c | 72.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…f141backed No | 75c | 71.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…cb99backed Yes | 32c | 61.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 26c | 50.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…a9e9backed No | 80c | 31.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 77c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.