NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ef1035905262239e2a75591d90dff4534199c64d85d9ca28fd62b17a32814e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,966$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 1,496$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.8 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 1,405$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.6 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 611$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…787bbacked Over | 53c | 242.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…b9b0backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 151.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 128$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 110.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 53c | 96.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…18d2backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…9335backed Over | 53c | 91.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 62.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 51c | 58.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 41.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 53c | 36.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a162backed Over | 53c | 27.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds Over 7.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.