TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over52c114,534$59,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,642.9516846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c56,942$27,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,610.11,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c17,745$8,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,304.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c11,322$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,840.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c9,300$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,835.942,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68d…e039backed Under51c5,039$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.221040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c3,028$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.2636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under48c3,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over51c2,491$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.2127735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c1,930$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.972,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Under50c1,635$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.5211755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under50c1,438$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.1229652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,063$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.144,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under50c1,005$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6525452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c874.82$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.912,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c708.43$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c635$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31222138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under48c583$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.161,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over50c390.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.126839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c389.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15372647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15340952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Under51c203.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.921586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over9c198.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.173,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c185.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.227247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4937357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over52c88.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.938347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d7…bdebbacked Over51c83.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7897…0842backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over52c73.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.248347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Over52c56.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.579050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71af…6b3dbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.928852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.420456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a81…b783backed Over51c39.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over51c37.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.342045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7231250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7227353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7231551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Under51c35.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2411258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Over52c28.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.788744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.488755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd394…f257backed Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over50c21.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.926346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Under50c20.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.253452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011564.3%74 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.