NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76fe7bf7c2dcdd68074b29cb54b68322c4ff98c227f1acd9f86d3781b033046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Clippers | 67c | 1,939$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.84 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Pistons | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…9175backed Pistons | 10c | 419.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 128 | 18.8%24 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Clippers | 39c | 353.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pistons | 61c | 324.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 32c | 210.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pistons | 32c | 193.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Clippers | 73c | 192.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Pistons | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Pistons | 59c | 179.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 55c | 167.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 41c | 156$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Clippers | 46c | 123.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 40c | 84.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Pistons | 59c | 60.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Pistons | 58c | 52.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…2807backed Pistons | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Pistons | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…41e8backed Pistons | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Clippers | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…0e0bbacked Clippers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Pistons | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds Over 7.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.