NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6baaf38831692a893868858ae5db971aa2f4b66fdcf6e33623bd3fb64ac013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 53c | 7,434$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.22 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,747$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 53c | 2,583$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…b9b0backed Clippers | 49c | 2,553$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 47c | 2,538$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Clippers | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.35 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Clippers | 48c | 2,154$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.34 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Clippers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…5c91backed Pistons | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pistons | 54c | 1,807$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.7 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Clippers | 47c | 1,675$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.8 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,620$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Clippers | 47c | 1,218$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.54 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Clippers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…6641backed Pistons | 51c | 866$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…f828backed Pistons | 52c | 850$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 49c | 665.66$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers | 47c | 599.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Pistons | 57c | 459.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Clippers | 47c | 417$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Pistons | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe806…406dbacked Clippers | 49c | 302$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…16f5backed Clippers | 49c | 301$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…b3d0backed Clippers | 48c | 294$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…4c17backed Clippers | 48c | 285$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2293…1bbcbacked Clippers | 48c | 271$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…70a4backed Clippers | 49c | 263$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Clippers | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 44c | 191.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Pistons | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed Pistons | 54c | 149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 43c | 139.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Clippers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Pistons | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Clippers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Pistons | 55c | 95.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Pistons | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 52c | 76.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Pistons | 54c | 72.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 45c | 58.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Pistons | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pistons | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Pistons | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 52c | 25.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 43c | 23.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Clippers | 48c | 21.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Pistons | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds Over 7.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.