TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Pistons48c62,408$29,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,955.8617031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers52c25,449$13,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,215.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers51c17,000$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers52c15,320$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,389.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons48c13,136$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,25076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Clippers53c13,000$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1102937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Clippers52c9,226$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.6636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Clippers52c4,222$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.5648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Clippers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers52c2,297$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.742,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons47c2,204$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.8885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Clippers53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7948448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Clippers53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7911839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers59c1,269$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Clippers55c1,043$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.4244654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers55c1,000$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1351651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers56c928.57$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b1…b70fbacked Pistons43c760$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Clippers52c634.62$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6223845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Clippers52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Clippers53c566.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4840648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Clippers52c542.31$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3123539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Pistons47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Clippers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18810757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Clippers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers52c297.81$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.971,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Pistons49c263.14$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9436248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9e…f57fbacked Clippers57c259$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287d…6c77backed Clippers57c259$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons48c255.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.674,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…03f6backed Clippers57c242$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Clippers51c241.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1818240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pistons45c238$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.134451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Pistons47c210.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons48c207.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.852,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Clippers50c203.59$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.826339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Clippers52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Clippers54c184.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6876247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Clippers56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers53c174.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.571,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Clippers53c169.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.615857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Clippers54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers53c147.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.522,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Clippers56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Clippers52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers52c117.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Pistons46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.617744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Pistons48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Clippers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.419254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Clippers52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Clippers52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers57c88.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1361056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Pistons46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Clippers52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Clippers52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Clippers52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Clippers53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3811940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Pistons49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.46752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons46c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.663,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6127backed Pistons47c57.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712639.7%50 W · 76 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Clippers52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Clippers52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Clippers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Clippers52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Pistons45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Pistons48c42.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3520154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33c…0f39backed Clippers54c41.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.982157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pistons47c39.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.612,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.382,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2823753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2831250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2825250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2827353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Clippers52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Clippers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0913651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.653,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Clippers52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.528755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Clippers53c21.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.998556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Clippers52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.086346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Clippers53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Clippers51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.