NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14aa8f7646bf8d1a3017d7d53667b1fb4d11092c90dfa8fa3b640acef9d3990b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 19,059$9,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,422.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 49c | 10,184$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 6,011$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 52c | 3,724$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,494$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,732$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,282$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Under | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 18c | 890$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 50c | 781.01$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Over | 49c | 769.8$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.21 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 488.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 387.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 52c | 286.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 285.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 79c | 251.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 245.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 201.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 51c | 157.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 156.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 21c | 145.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 20c | 144.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 115.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…b181backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 49c | 92.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 82.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cbf1backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8129backed Over | 50c | 58.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 57.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 56.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 41.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…a398backed Under | 78c | 39.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 51c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…aaf9backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds Over 7.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.