Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42e167a59856a58de93ba55ff936133982b50c7d2ebb22dc2b2122d2dc8f83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 79c | 4,357$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,938$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.16 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 1,699$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.15 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,382$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 31c | 1,175$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.97 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 1,164$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.04 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Under | 70c | 1,146$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 1,082$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.85 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 849.99$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 690.49$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.67 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…c195backed Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 476.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 39c | 475.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.27 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 38c | 399.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 58c | 348.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 57c | 335.09$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 322.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6c9dbacked Over | 61c | 291.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 61c | 221.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Under | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…9a44backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 152.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 33c | 121.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 15c | 98.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…8d2ebacked Over | 62c | 94.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Over | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 62c | 67.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 63c | 65.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 47c | 62.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 61.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 61c | 60.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 41c | 60.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 59.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…6e5cbacked Over | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 40c | 47.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 62c | 40.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 62c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 61c | 31.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Over | 55c | 29.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 44c | 28.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…645cbacked Over | 64c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…a9e9backed Under | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.