Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a647c1ac0c79d9c2c413e61a09050f92948e0169af3bdb42661dc17411607f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 38c | 51,610$19,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,611.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 31,857$20,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,128.37 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 63c | 13,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 12,676$7,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.79 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 4,241$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 63c | 2,379$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 1,433$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.96 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 17c | 942.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 36c | 842.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 62c | 422$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 38c | 355.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 40c | 332.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 38c | 329.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…cbddbacked Under | 63c | 295.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 37c | 228$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 61c | 220.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 37c | 108.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 103.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 95.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 72.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 74c | 66.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 62c | 64.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Under | 62c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…00a1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 62c | 24.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 63c | 21.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 66c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under | 62c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.