Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013725ec3b7e69d49f9797947180db0bae438eac6dbf0266b28628aca648769f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 52c | 2,864$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.59 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 2,265$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.03 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 33c | 999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 803.62$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 511.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 407.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.42 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 310.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 238.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 34c | 235.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 171.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 155.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 48c | 125.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 52c | 124.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 54c | 121$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 28c | 112.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 103.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked No | 58c | 86.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 49c | 69.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 45c | 64.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 47c | 59.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked No | 53c | 50.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 70c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…01f5backed No | 77c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.