TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No8c75,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,999.9227039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No7c26,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,18025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No6c16,721$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,702.5646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No6c15,555$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,621.5921836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No9c13,846$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,654.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c9,462$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.9235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No7c7,273$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,764.1412525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No6c5,965$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,607.342114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No7c5,353$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,978.365538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No6c5,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70023622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes33c5,000$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.332020%4 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c4,669$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No72c4,312$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.2611354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No8c3,125$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8757135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No7c2,422$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.453935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes76c2,339$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7713951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No8c2,162$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.651625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c2,003$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.335024%12 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No8c2,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8403423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No7c1,847$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.5217048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes38c1,745$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.1334630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No70c1,724$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.222959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed No74c1,649$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…67cdbacked No6c1,500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+393.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes39c1,432$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.67354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes30c1,411$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4242842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No53c1,233$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.9821837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1169324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158f…2bb3backed No6c1,158$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes75c1,104$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.881838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes34c1,097$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.622520%5 W · 20 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No58c1,011$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.278538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No6c1,011$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.199322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7355…a452backed No3c1,000$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9701100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes74c1,000$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.316946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No6c999.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9922421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No5c957.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.2528133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes11c838.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.339633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a8f8backed No52c750$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+136.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No57c660$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.61,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes49c657.49$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf239…cbccbacked No7c650.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+771.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab6…bf68backed No8c640$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+173.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c610$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No49c588.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.711,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c509.52$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No6c503.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.3116925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4500…e6e1backed Yes52c502.42$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes72c500.11$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No5c439.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.592740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d6…00d5backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes51c396.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes49c386.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No32c357.83$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6113131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes65c341$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.353852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a1…f2fdbacked No6c320$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No5c300$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28578927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes10c298.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.983946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No5c291.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.816222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes36c280.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes49c255.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes27c245.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.844839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…a953backed Yes26c229.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No63c207.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed No9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1826212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No7c179.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.64740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No69c174.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed No77c172.19$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab43…f82cbacked Yes36c166.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…e935backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No7c148.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2739621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7019…dcefbacked No69c144.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c4…dda8backed Yes25c142.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…772cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No10c137.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.238145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c133.05$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11511554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes32c118.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No56c111$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.356149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes36c107.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.524837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes59c102.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.33863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes51c92.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c84.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2823738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Yes24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9212829.7%38 W · 90 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed No56c62.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.292138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf69…a33fbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…93b4backed Yes35c56.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes36c56.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x763b…e1b8backed No70c56.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.