Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819b37548fdceecc8bd8f12670509e540ca3ec88ee12303a2d44ad70c89acb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 35c | 11,638$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.8 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 76c | 7,250$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.44 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 5,733$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 75c | 3,359$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 2,272$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.29 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 75c | 1,942$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.84 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 36c | 1,701$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.08 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 1,677$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.09 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,565$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.21 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,325$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 1,288$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 1,189$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 1,128$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.77 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 959.21$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…0f72backed Yes | 77c | 958.7$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 24c | 958.25$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 59c | 845.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 744.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.79 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 52c | 655.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 620$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.95 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 25c | 563$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 429.14$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 405.58$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 332.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 40c | 329.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 27c | 321.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed No | 24c | 317.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 71c | 282.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked No | 79c | 240.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed No | 13c | 229$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 57c | 216.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 48c | 170$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 32c | 155.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 31c | 134.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 131.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 68c | 128.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 57c | 128.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 71c | 123$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 117$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 104$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 30c | 95.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 24c | 89.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 72c | 75.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 23c | 74.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 71.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 37c | 61.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 18c | 55.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 35c | 52.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 57c | 49.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 48.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 44c | 47.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…e010backed Yes | 65c | 46.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 42.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 27c | 40.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 29c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…47fabacked No | 32c | 37.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…637abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked No | 32c | 33.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…439ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…df7ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 71c | 26.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 76c | 25.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.