Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6130b77ce8fab6bbcb6c4c858ca81de4abfe304468fb1b8663e4aaf7f937fe6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 50c | 7,745$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,245$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,852$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 3,627$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 2,157$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.34 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 2,157$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 50c | 1,934$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.3 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 19c | 1,416$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 14c | 1,250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 1,134$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 994.24$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.12 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 912.63$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.87 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 52c | 869.51$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes | 50c | 586.77$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 489.04$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 13c | 440.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 49c | 412$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 52c | 378.36$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 43c | 376$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67e…b0cdbacked Yes | 9c | 342.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 316.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 308.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 54c | 229.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 211.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 48c | 201.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 12c | 165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 74c | 130.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 125.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…c180backed Yes | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 52c | 118.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Yes | 15c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 97.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 88.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 42c | 79.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed No | 48c | 70.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 66.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 50c | 43.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 27c | 42.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 43c | 36.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…6deebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 53c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 50c | 20.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Yes | 52c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.