Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0204ca55d39d55968bbd683a0dff693396f44f2dd53e840457c63991c4e26809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 4c | 3,708$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,592$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,293$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 710.04$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 505$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 488.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 422.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 411.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 237.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 222.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 212$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 71c | 210$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 32c | 172$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 115.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 109.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 104.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 25c | 92.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 80c | 43.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 27c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 32c | 37.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.