TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Benin win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39c6…daeebacked Yes57c19,298$11,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,233.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No43c16,000$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,879.976132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c14,796$8,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c9,944$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.8930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c5,717$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.2528754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c5,605$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.533,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c5,356$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No43c4,559$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.1722342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes56c3,791$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.029636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes53c3,000$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2605349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No30c2,757$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.2929343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c2,639$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.434630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005050%25 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No46c1,895$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.513953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes55c1,499$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.6722421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes58c1,250$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5256253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes56c1,098$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.924751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+143.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x648c…92e8backed Yes55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No46c925$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.55228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.193860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes53c823.7$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1416647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37629250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.723956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No40c745.88$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7120856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Yes54c739.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes55c736.36$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.363943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2586237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe45…7687backed No44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.722551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes53c471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.372030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes64c416.71$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.323738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe928…3b65backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No46c391.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes79c381.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No25c369$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.027034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No46c352.63$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes57c315.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.794831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No45c301$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes56c296.43$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.437842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes53c218.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.872450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4611…fbc2backed Yes52c190$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6810748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No35c186.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.579845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes55c183.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed No45c178.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.49825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes54c170.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.372556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No45c149.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9839621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes54c148.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.357665.8%50 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No47c147.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.174734%16 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Yes79c145.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79f2…118bbacked Yes54c140.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.741384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No43c132.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.931747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked No44c127$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.88875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+103%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510263.7%65 W · 37 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8110838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8155153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed No44c121$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No42c120.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7542352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No46c120.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked No45c120.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.12025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No44c119$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed No44c113$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Yes54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed No44c111$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.841030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x100b…7641backed Yes50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No23c108.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes65c107.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4346525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4517727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7862…46abbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes54c92.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3217851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked No44c92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.846453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.820245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.839749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.76051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a2…bf79backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b9…b4ecbacked Yes58c84.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes57c79.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.252035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.435244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5585…dd3ebacked No45c75.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.078838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No36c74.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.667258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.