Fifa International · resolved market
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb520189b3486369aa8736e5dbff3bbc49f8164e4bf04edf5539b718919a8a895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,492$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,405$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 20c | 1,236$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 11c | 1,226$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 11c | 1,085$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 584$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 18c | 509.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 78c | 252.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked Yes | 80c | 248.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 62c | 228.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 220.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 25c | 168.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 75c | 155.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 114.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 29c | 104.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…e29dbacked Yes | 30c | 98.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 68c | 85.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 72c | 72.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 69.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…a92fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Yes | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 27c | 42.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…0054backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…a538backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…3cc4backed No | 73c | 16.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Faroe Islands vs. Montenegro end in a draw?No won
- Will Montenegro win on 2025-10-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.