Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc357d9ce3154310c75b47bbe067a6408102476d5bf368e67907eec75f9da32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 8c | 112,099$8,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,967.91 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 13,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 7,431$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.81 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Yes | 8c | 7,272$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,826$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.81 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 63c | 6,315$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 7c | 5,656$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.89 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 37c | 5,068$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 31c | 4,157$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,049$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.43 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,916$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.42 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 7c | 3,038$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…ec41backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 31c | 2,416$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 8c | 1,886$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 1,880$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.33 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…4ccabacked Yes | 8c | 1,635$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 8c | 1,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 71c | 1,556$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7e…202bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,456$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…63c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ec4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 1,255$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 1,245$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 1,193$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 14c | 1,111$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 1,060$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 12c | 1,040$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,010$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…ab6fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…ef4ebacked Yes | 8c | 979$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Yes | 7c | 975.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 974.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 6c | 950$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 886.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 11c | 830.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed Yes | 7c | 830$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…0d78backed Yes | 30c | 768.53$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 9c | 740$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 9c | 736.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 70c | 710.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…d35bbacked Yes | 8c | 637.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 7c | 570$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 8c | 495$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…bd57backed No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed Yes | 8c | 456$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 8c | 449.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 70c | 357.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 6c | 333.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes | 9c | 330.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 325.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…8d25backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 33c | 304.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 7c | 298.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…cb80backed Yes | 4c | 290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 8c | 289.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 286$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Yes | 31c | 274.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 26c | 259.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 8c | 258.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…ef56backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…07d5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed No | 67c | 220.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.