Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941c9220435c4e6587dfbe8f6caedf698c213e8d559963c0af518584de1d0680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 13,688$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.84 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Yes | 0c | 9,012$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 5,482$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 3,560$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.59 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 3,202$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 3,178$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,532$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,367$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 11c | 1,334$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…4c71backed Yes | 12c | 1,224$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…e7ecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 11c | 999.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 12c | 862.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 13c | 823$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 12c | 808.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…2d7dbacked Yes | 3c | 687$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 4c | 675$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 2c | 674.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 2c | 672.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.42per pick | 22cpaid | +183%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 2c | 662.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 642.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 12c | 641.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 12c | 595.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 11c | 499.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 12c | 411.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 12c | 355.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 10c | 315$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 10c | 237.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 185.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…1833backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 11c | 173.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 12c | 120.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Yes | 11c | 96.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.