Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b6f2665d0af2a9390a2f9617b304ccf9d7648283cb0645e8eb615a4a01933e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 12,885$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,022$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 11,947$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.46 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 9,942$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.54 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 6,547$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.57 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 19c | 5,148$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 74c | 4,800$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 1,119$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.84 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 601.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 19c | 452.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…88adbacked Yes | 6c | 405$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…ee6cbacked Yes | 14c | 314.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 19c | 212.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 209.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 15c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 19c | 168.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 19c | 168.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 140.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 134.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…1763backed Yes | 16c | 123.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 90.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 19c | 79.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…f7eabacked Yes | 20c | 72.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…5efabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…3967backed Yes | 20c | 70.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 19c | 61.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…793dbacked Yes | 20c | 61.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 19c | 61.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 19c | 57.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bc…61b6backed Yes | 23c | 55.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…8a7fbacked Yes | 20c | 55.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 19c | 53.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…f054backed Yes | 21c | 50.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 80c | 37.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 32.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…06f8backed No | 80c | 13.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.