Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4734a2f2bc639e2ebd2a6240750fa818f8c2d4672d7f6bb3125e047499501ed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…2a93backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 5,186$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.91 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 4,318$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.74 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 15c | 3,800$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 7c | 3,213$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,571$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,475$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.76 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 15c | 2,437$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 15c | 2,222$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,028$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 13c | 1,839$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 15c | 1,546$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…1902backed Yes | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,380$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 14c | 1,045$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…4b95backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 16c | 999.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 2c | 820$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 14c | 735.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 14c | 716.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 696.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 12c | 628.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 13c | 628.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 16c | 595.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 15c | 511.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 17c | 497.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 13c | 374.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Yes | 3c | 355$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 14c | 294.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…f83ebacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +273%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 13c | 249.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 13c | 249.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Yes | 13c | 237.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 9c | 224.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 17c | 214.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…be87backed Yes | 15c | 178.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 14c | 177.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…8fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 151.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…06b8backed Yes | 7c | 149.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 14c | 149.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…1723backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da2…8fe3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +244.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 13c | 132.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 123.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 17c | 121.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes | 13c | 120.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 18c | 87.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…85bdbacked Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 18c | 86.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed Yes | 13c | 85.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 13c | 82.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 14c | 74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
- Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.