Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6de5c5941febab4a599129bcfde7b434f426da7e238412013cb1cdb946d0ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38fa…55eabacked Yes | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 8,894$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.97 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 80c | 7,644$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 20c | 4,444$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 4,344$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.86 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 80c | 3,715$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.1 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 5c | 1,981$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 78c | 1,527$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 80c | 1,390$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Yes | 15c | 1,380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 21c | 1,362$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 1,004$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 817$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…3959backed Yes | 11c | 717.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 79c | 440.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 21c | 404.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 3c | 347.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 5c | 219.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 19c | 208.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 79c | 184.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…be87backed Yes | 20c | 179.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…1316backed Yes | 22c | 157.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 149.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…7b6fbacked Yes | 14c | 147.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 20c | 109.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…c9ffbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…b582backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…ad4abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…a6d4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 20c | 97.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 80c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 20c | 87.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…2893backed Yes | 20c | 75.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 20c | 69.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…fe28backed Yes | 20c | 64.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…9d18backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 54.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 52.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…afd7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 79c | 34.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 27.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.