Champions League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d9a9c81182f8ad81feb2b4e8735c290e383604f25520cb8afd0aa0299ef45c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 6c | 27,843$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 16,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 9,421$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 6c | 8,447$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,500$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.23 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 5,050$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 4c | 4,379$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 3,082$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 5c | 2,689$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 5c | 2,248$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 2c | 2,191$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,879$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 5c | 1,625$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 5c | 1,610$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,513$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 5c | 1,436$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Yes | 5c | 1,370$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 5c | 1,300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 5c | 1,277$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 5c | 1,189$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 5c | 1,097$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,004$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 5c | 912$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 802.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 5c | 704.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked Yes | 2c | 694.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…64cabacked Yes | 3c | 629.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…3874backed Yes | 5c | 572.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 5c | 437.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 5c | 425.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 424.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Yes | 5c | 403.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 5c | 384.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Yes | 5c | 340.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +258.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…ae1ebacked Yes | 5c | 331.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 5c | 300.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 4c | 288.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 7c | 283.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 17c | 274.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 5c | 265.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 5c | 250.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 229$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ce…a973backed Yes | 5c | 216.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 5c | 211.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Yes | 6c | 181.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.