Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8ebe025bf0b166008035cb71b46c478fa7730cd8730f931a633e9e0a5a9bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 5,934$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 39c | 5,864$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 44c | 2,826$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.48 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 47c | 1,644$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.85 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 1,046$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.91 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 991$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.85 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 58c | 941.88$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.29 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…3959backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 885.53$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.75 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 717.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 46c | 691.72$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 690.38$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.5 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 44c | 617.16$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 598.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 24c | 506.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 42c | 438.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 45c | 348.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 49c | 346.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 55c | 299.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…d9f3backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0803…2071backed Yes | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 45c | 232.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…192ebacked Yes | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b9…aa58backed Yes | 55c | 195$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…1ec1backed Yes | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…a7e4backed Yes | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 56c | 180.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…27e5backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…00acbacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…8d38backed Yes | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…2ecebacked Yes | 55c | 178$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…af5ebacked Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…b985backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…f986backed Yes | 55c | 172$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…5643backed No | 45c | 171$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…3138backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…678bbacked Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…10e3backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…0153backed Yes | 55c | 168$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…3085backed No | 45c | 166$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 45c | 165.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…8b25backed Yes | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…efd7backed Yes | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…9f72backed Yes | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…7f75backed Yes | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…5de8backed Yes | 55c | 162$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…d966backed Yes | 55c | 162$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…a4e0backed No | 45c | 161$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…049ebacked Yes | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…9fa5backed Yes | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…2d15backed Yes | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…2796backed Yes | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…b2febacked No | 45c | 158$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ca…f093backed Yes | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…801ebacked Yes | 57c | 158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…4643backed Yes | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9543…65f5backed No | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…6891backed Yes | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…e704backed Yes | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…4349backed Yes | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 153$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…96cbbacked Yes | 55c | 152$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…d238backed Yes | 57c | 152$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…a200backed Yes | 55c | 152$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…e7abbacked Yes | 57c | 152$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…9ac3backed Yes | 55c | 152$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…c072backed No | 45c | 151$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…73fabacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bf…41a0backed Yes | 55c | 149$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…fbf7backed Yes | 56c | 148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…2f53backed Yes | 55c | 148$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…f976backed Yes | 55c | 148$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…5ef7backed No | 45c | 146$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…5f88backed No | 45c | 146$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…04adbacked No | 45c | 146$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 145.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…12cfbacked Yes | 57c | 145$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…b155backed Yes | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 143.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…9043backed Yes | 55c | 142$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…ab4bbacked Yes | 55c | 142$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…72ccbacked No | 45c | 141$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda27…ec01backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…45c6backed Yes | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed No | 44c | 139.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…f477backed Yes | 55c | 138$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…f9ebbacked No | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…a0d3backed No | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…b711backed No | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…c1d9backed No | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…3170backed No | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-21?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.