TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67cc…060fbacked Nuggets51c43,800$22,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,2891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d42…f9ddbacked Clippers49c43,800$21,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,28910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nuggets50c14,010$7,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,989.611,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Clippers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90010252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers50c8,460$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.5113142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers54c6,384$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.0636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers50c6,347$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.091,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Nuggets51c5,885$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.6214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Clippers35c5,195$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.181752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets50c5,013$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers35c3,950$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets65c3,299$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.391,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers34c2,411$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers34c2,330$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.271,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Nuggets53c1,891$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.3417241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets46c1,598$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nuggets53c1,014$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.5945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nuggets62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers46c985.77$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.741,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Clippers36c982$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5210235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets46c788.95$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers35c776.78$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.333,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nuggets66c774.74$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7421852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers31c738$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.732,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Nuggets50c700$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35252844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Nuggets66c667.16$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.167862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd962…1d5cbacked Nuggets66c620.14$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.525745.6%26 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers48c600.21$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Nuggets68c448.52$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5313638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Nuggets51c433.97$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3225840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Clippers20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+57.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Nuggets52c307.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6923847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets66c304.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.181,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Clippers35c298.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5239736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Clippers34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers36c264.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.142,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clippers48c240.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets49c206.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets46c203.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9643244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nuggets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Nuggets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Clippers21c194.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7717554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3181845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Nuggets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3125056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers34c178.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Nuggets46c175.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7228147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Clippers20c163.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6415349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Clippers14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick19cpaid+215%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Clippers49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.242146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Clippers35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nuggets51c66.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6750648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets49c65.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.623,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e1…4cc7backed Clippers46c64.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75935.6%21 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Nuggets67c59.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.799962.6%62 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers33c59.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.533,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Clippers35c58.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7930743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Clippers32c56.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8245651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets66c56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0433360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Clippers37c51.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1650841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nuggets50c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc244…c06fbacked Nuggets52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Nuggets65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1533249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…60a4backed Clippers35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets66c42.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Clippers49c40.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers34c40.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Clippers49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Nuggets51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2238152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Nuggets52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4615643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nuggets48c37.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers43c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Clippers49c34.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9723051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Clippers35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nuggets65c33.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Clippers49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…44b3backed Nuggets52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f7…c7fabacked Clippers36c28.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Nuggets71c27.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.897254.2%39 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Nuggets52c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9211938.7%46 W · 73 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Clippers51c26.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4420456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Nuggets68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Clippers49c24.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Nuggets52c24.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5411553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuggets65c22.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9250651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nuggets66c21.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2159948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Nuggets67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.66820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Nuggets66c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6749358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.