NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc1624284720ca507551fe5f234c942192ab738329d4a6fbca6140c9cac2052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 50c | 5,941$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,931$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 2,490$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 29c | 545.16$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 470.38$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 404.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 313.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 303.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 70c | 251.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 30c | 228$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 86.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 84.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 71c | 83.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Over | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 50c | 69.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 27c | 67.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 51c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 48.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 51c | 48.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 26.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 71c | 25.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Clippers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.