TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c17,178$8,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,484.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c16,937$8,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,299.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over49c13,539$6,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.8139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c6,248$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c5,690$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Under50c3,945$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.874440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c3,907$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.631,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under50c2,567$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.144854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c2,522$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.4570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c2,518$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.3737747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over49c1,735$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.6916442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c1,498$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.9626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,404$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58846145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,181$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under51c1,048$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under51c798.7$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2812143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c718.06$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.721,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c656.26$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.363,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c611.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c517.15$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over51c508.11$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9731155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over50c499.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under29c497.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c431.84$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under48c413.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…e17cbacked Under47c403.57$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over50c400.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b2…3d80backed Over50c399$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Under56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.12853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under50c354.74$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9713945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c301$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c276.17$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under51c260.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13326043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c254.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.491,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd1…5490backed Under50c232.36$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c225.62$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.183,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over56c207.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under12c199.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c195.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under52c171.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8912540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under52c159.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1627943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over49c155.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under49c155.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4225840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over49c135.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0418043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c127.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.133,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under49c118.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6253043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over49c115.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9710953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Under52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c96.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…9f2cbacked Under49c91.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.992540%10 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under14c73.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under51c58.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over51c53.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0910761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under55c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.757545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x793d…278fbacked Over48c42.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.312638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under52c42.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under51c36.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over65c31.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9624358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under50c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under50c30.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2421948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over51c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Under50c26.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9815040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Under50c26.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9716443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2541048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Under52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e7…3234backed Over50c21.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.