TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nuggets47c45,390$21,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,852.5627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Clippers53c38,275$20,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,425.2110252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets47c14,141$6,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,546.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers52c14,036$7,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,298.972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets61c10,669$6,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.832,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers48c9,726$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets69c4,310$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Clippers52c4,248$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers19c3,358$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets61c2,845$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.71,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Nuggets48c2,154$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Nuggets48c2,134$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.751650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Nuggets48c1,975$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0271566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Clippers52c1,975$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0271136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Nuggets47c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.892748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers57c1,903$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers39c1,844$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Nuggets48c1,770$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.261154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9726…892ebacked Clippers52c1,770$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Clippers38c1,600$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60823644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Clippers52c1,503$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.496756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers41c1,429$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers18c1,289$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.272,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers53c1,277$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets51c1,210$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers38c1,045$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Clippers53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers44c749$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.851,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers50c707.62$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.632,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Clippers53c532$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Clippers38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clippers15c515.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nuggets53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Clippers51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9912547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers40c486.84$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.411,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets47c486.15$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Clippers38c402$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.768744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers40c390$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Clippers26c366.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0239736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Clippers52c317.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Clippers53c313.6$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1712143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Nuggets47c306.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3810048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Clippers40c298.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6754549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets46c298.44$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.072,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Clippers52c290.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Clippers53c274.92$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1521645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets59c258.76$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers38c216$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Clippers52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10830452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Nuggets46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers49c192$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.561747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Clippers46c184.45$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0507…7f7fbacked Clippers18c177$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a8…2964backed Nuggets47c170.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets43c163$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.912,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Clippers54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nuggets62c142.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.811,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Nuggets48c138.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.143151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Clippers51c127.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Nuggets48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6524250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…25e3backed Clippers53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets59c100.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.531,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets44c99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.443,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2c…7e7cbacked Clippers53c97.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.112330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Clippers52c97.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Nuggets46c92.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4711849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974e…c090backed Clippers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe5b…b5fcbacked Clippers22c85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c8…2f5abacked Clippers38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Clippers53c76.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.721243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Clippers51c70.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Clippers37c59.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.066240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…3718backed Clippers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nuggets45c55.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.761,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Clippers20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+57.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Clippers53c54.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.953447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc638…eb19backed Clippers37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x745e…5975backed Clippers38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5f…08afbacked Clippers38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e7…b890backed Clippers38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…c195backed Clippers39c50.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Clippers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8260…3a6abacked Clippers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x911a…dbd3backed Clippers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Clippers52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.842146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe0…027abacked Clippers54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17ea…9406backed Clippers54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…b665backed Nuggets65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1514156.7%80 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Nuggets48c46.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.123249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Clippers41c42.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3731155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers51c40.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets65c40.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.323,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…8897backed Clippers38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.