NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc356c391ed9d029179eacd80db309dcc1b32bc33774207f91d8940392f07bc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 9,564$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,259$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 1,647$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 961.15$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.13 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 834.06$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 480$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 77c | 357.47$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 58c | 274.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 272.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 49c | 217.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 213.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 163.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Under | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 26c | 109.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 72c | 83.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 76.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 73.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…4dddbacked Over | 53c | 57.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…788dbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 72c | 55.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 52.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over | 53c | 48.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…5134backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 27c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…d212backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…a441backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…7581backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…6030backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…82dcbacked Over | 58c | 34.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…9406backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…1f16backed Over | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…3738backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…f6e4backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…eb19backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…b890backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 67c | 20.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…b5f4backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Over | 51c | 19.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…978abacked Over | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…bbaebacked Over | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Clippers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.