NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x962714bb65cf09b1b7b6ae0373e1e6b15680c40e4acc44281d916faf5cfe64a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 52c | 6,096$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.76 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 58c | 4,982$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.77 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 3,479$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.69 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,429$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Over | 63c | 2,684$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.13 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 2,327$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 2,153$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.4 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 2,128$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,810$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 1,725$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.18 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 1,583$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.87 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Over | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 42c | 1,082$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.23 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 51c | 1,054$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.9 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 31c | 830.25$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 817.01$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 67c | 787.21$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 53c | 776.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.51 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 53c | 733.35$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 33c | 708.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 645.98$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 48c | 530.24$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 44c | 520$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 63c | 517$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.61 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 385$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 48c | 366.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.42 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 27c | 235.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 51c | 154.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 142$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 69c | 127.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 108.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 43c | 93.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 69c | 86.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 75.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 55c | 71.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 32c | 70.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 70c | 69.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 66c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 56.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…29cbbacked Under | 31c | 51.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 65c | 36.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 31c | 35.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 47c | 27.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 67c | 25.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 55c | 22.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Clippers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.