Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shanghai Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf45b292cbc2f4d609bfa7aa050c876f2e70ee26f41adc5bdb6f2a0bba249554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Golden Bullsof Zhejiang Golden Bulls, Shanghai Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shanghai Sharks | 60c | 1,324$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.67 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Shanghai Sharks | 67c | 1,260$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.7 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 27c | 861.09$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.01 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 47c | 800.39$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.21 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 36c | 787$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 576.6$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 37c | 434$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shanghai Sharks | 45c | 312.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…0d4dbacked Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 225.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 63c | 204.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 12c | 194.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Shanghai Sharks | 60c | 178.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…b20abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 35c | 146.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 14c | 136$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…db98backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 9c | 133.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 64.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 43c | 51.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 28c | 51.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 32.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…074bbacked Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.