NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b3a2f04eecdab256c0b14fdffaeec85858cfd2ee4c62b5151112db05f50cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Bulls | 47c | 4,067$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.53 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 54c | 2,152$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.83 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 53c | 1,839$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.55 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,708$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bulls | 46c | 1,520$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.54 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Clippers | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 47c | 1,207$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.19 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Clippers | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Clippers | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Clippers | 57c | 557$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Bulls | 47c | 425.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 74c | 410.44$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Bulls | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Bulls | 45c | 198.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Bulls | 44c | 197.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers | 42c | 194.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bulls | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Bulls | 70c | 149.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Clippers | 72c | 139.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Clippers | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Clippers | 40c | 123.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 33c | 107.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clippers | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Clippers | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Bulls | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Bulls | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls | 46c | 68.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 45c | 60.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…178cbacked Clippers | 57c | 55.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Clippers | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Clippers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Clippers | 56c | 52.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Bulls | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 57c | 50.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 43c | 49.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Clippers | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Bulls | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 67c | 38.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Clippers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…9d93backed Bulls | 57c | 36.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Clippers | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Clippers | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)this page
- Clippers vs. BullsBulls won
- Clippers vs. Bulls: O/U 224.5Over won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.