TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers48c147,037$70,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,136.1651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls52c27,883$14,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,343.673,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Bulls53c12,409$6,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,832.2740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Bulls53c11,811$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,551.3241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cae…f9bebacked Bulls53c11,383$6,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Bulls50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls53c8,278$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Bulls53c7,509$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.4312454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bulls50c5,878$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.8492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Bulls53c5,510$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.7942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Bulls53c5,358$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bulls53c4,874$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.5816254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls50c4,575$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Bulls55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Bulls53c3,108$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.559952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls53c2,998$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls52c2,988$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls52c2,759$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.322,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.991,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers45c2,328$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers51c2,302$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.362,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed Bulls53c2,260$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.24645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Bulls53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.4716442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Bulls53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7929347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers48c1,691$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.462,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bulls53c1,513$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.2135749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Bulls53c1,039$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.3318345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bulls53c1,000$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Clippers47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4232015%3 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls53c697.31$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.983,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Bulls53c618.06$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4932150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Bulls52c610.39$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9922643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf484…0e02backed Clippers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Bulls51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.243076.7%23 W · 7 L+8.8wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+69.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Bulls52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.924645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bulls53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Bulls54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5618456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls50c536.54$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Bulls51c505$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Bulls49c494.95$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…fab2backed Bulls51c483.47$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Bulls56c446.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers49c439.36$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.292,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Clippers47c430.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Bulls53c385.37$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1215649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Bulls53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3615543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers46c372.48$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.871,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls51c342.79$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls53c342.26$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.521,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Bulls53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Bulls50c292.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.511150.5%56 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bulls55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Clippers45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Bulls55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11714042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Bulls50c241$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Bulls53c236.15$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.093348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Bulls51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2933554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Bulls53c211.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Bulls50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Bulls54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Clippers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bulls53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6836649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Bulls54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1915161.6%93 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Clippers45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bulls53c149.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.871,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls34c147.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.193,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls52c123.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.322,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Clippers45c116.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0332346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Clippers52c116$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bulls51c115.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Clippers45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bulls53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc708…4ebcbacked Bulls54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Clippers48c81.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.194548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Bulls50c79.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.591,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Bulls56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.434351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Clippers52c71.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.894045%18 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Bulls53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Bulls53c54.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9430743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc75…53d6backed Bulls56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.851844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls47c43.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Clippers47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Bulls51c28.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.216061.3%98 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clippers45c27.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316e…4875backed Clippers47c27.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d4…44b3backed Bulls55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Bulls53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4219748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Bulls54c25.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.652246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Clippers48c24.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Clippers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dfd…920fbacked Bulls56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.