TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$781,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$786,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls47c595,958$280,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315,857.6387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers53c251,202$133,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,136.872,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers53c221,136$116,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,469.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Clippers53c150,000$79,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,50026753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers50c50,426$25,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,414.3251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Bulls47c35,000$16,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,5501764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Clippers19c11,417$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.1619350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers53c11,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls46c10,368$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.5166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bulls51c10,231$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.9725753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…88b2backed Bulls50c10,182$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls48c8,559$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,414.33,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Clippers54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Bulls52c7,492$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.0710252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers51c7,071$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.71,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers37c6,179$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls51c5,998$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.022,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cae…f9bebacked Bulls50c5,190$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls52c5,025$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.4980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Bulls49c4,251$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.0212454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Bulls46c4,049$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.4323747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls49c4,048$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.821,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Clippers53c3,736$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.3411252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Bulls50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Bulls51c2,902$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.9313748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers49c2,631$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers51c2,057$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.942,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Bulls50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Clippers50c1,988$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Clippers53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9542646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Bulls50c1,669$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Bulls51c1,570$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.291,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Bulls52c1,558$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.699853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Clippers54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Bulls50c1,450$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72526949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.812,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Bulls50c1,122$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9317953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Clippers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Clippers48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers53c992$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Clippers12c938.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.922633.2%75 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Clippers53c914.24$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls49c910$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.11,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Bulls51c888.04$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7412050%60 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Clippers50c754.47$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7720741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bulls49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls49c407.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.383,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Bulls53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3615650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Bulls47c360$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Bulls49c353.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.315649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Bulls50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bulls49c291.59$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7135749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Clippers52c249.75$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls50c234.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.231,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Clippers41c231.47$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3732346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers48c211.54$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bulls49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0419560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Bulls50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…7efabacked Bulls42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bulls50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Bulls51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9848957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Clippers54c197.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.450347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Clippers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Clippers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls49c164.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers37c158.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.681,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls50c156.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.042,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Bulls53c151.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3750351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Bulls50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e3…a336backed Clippers53c129.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.913735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers47c128.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Clippers54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…608cbacked Clippers54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Clippers51c110.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.155339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Clippers63c109.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.224250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Clippers53c108.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6615349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cb…b771backed Clippers54c103.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Bulls49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Bulls50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Bulls47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535040%20 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed Bulls52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814036.4%51 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Clippers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers41c99.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers51c95.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa90…d716backed Clippers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b58…7061backed Bulls50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Bulls49c82.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.331,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Bulls52c82.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.628251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers49c80.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked Clippers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Clippers50c72.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7648451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Bulls49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1743052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Clippers56c65.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.811051.8%57 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Clippers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Bulls47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.816549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.