NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Bulls: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x055305a91cf3a21ac2823ed1a606b1d71d4ff2dd24bdc69cd0451256cfe767e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,744$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 9,083$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 5c | 2,305$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 1,154$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.2 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 2c | 640.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 19c | 521.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Under | 52c | 81.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Under | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Under | 50c | 44.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Under | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 36.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…867fbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Bulls: O/U 224.5this page
- Clippers vs. BullsBulls won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.