NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4d00f396289b3138a40001ed99f17635accc89b44bbf753c69647081387bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Bucks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bucks | 61c | 82,846$50,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,723.15 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 39c | 65,930$25,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,217.3 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 55c | 22,028$12,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,165.59 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Bucks | 50c | 20,728$10,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.78 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 19,927$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,139.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Nuggets | 38c | 12,345$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bucks | 55c | 11,664$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.72 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…8bfebacked Bucks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…4642backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 57c | 7,161$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.98 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 4,425$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 50c | 4,220$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 45c | 3,510$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,316$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,273$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.73 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,224$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 64c | 3,200$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,663$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,400$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Bucks | 57c | 2,302$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.28 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,224$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.87 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,141$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 53c | 1,837$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 50c | 1,613$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,582$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,404$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.8 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.94 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 50c | 1,115$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bucks | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Nuggets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 977.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.9 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 852.88$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.56 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Bucks | 49c | 724.18$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.85 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Nuggets | 42c | 716.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.2 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 47c | 512.24$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Nuggets | 51c | 505.04$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nuggets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nuggets | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 51c | 466.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 422.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 58c | 414.3$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Bucks | 51c | 395.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Nuggets | 44c | 375.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 69c | 327$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 57c | 306.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nuggets | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Nuggets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 48c | 270.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 49c | 260.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…2731backed Bucks | 51c | 253.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Nuggets | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Nuggets | 40c | 248.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 247.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Nuggets | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nuggets | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Nuggets | 39c | 207$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nuggets | 39c | 190.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nuggets | 44c | 186.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 50c | 175.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 159$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Nuggets | 40c | 140.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Nuggets | 39c | 137.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Bucks | 51c | 137.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Bucks | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bucks | 18c | 114.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bucks | 49c | 107.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nuggets | 66c | 106.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Nuggets | 40c | 104.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Nuggets | 40c | 101.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Nuggets | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Bucks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Nuggets | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Bucks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Nuggets | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bucks | 52c | 73.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nuggets | 41c | 69.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 51c | 66.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 65.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Nuggets | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 41c | 61.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Nuggets | 41c | 61.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Nuggets | 41c | 61.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 46c | 60.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucks | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Nuggets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Bucks | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Bucks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…8b0ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Nuggets | 42c | 57.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)this page
- Bucks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.