NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49eefd5724fe22b57752cec7f6b848e8078f1321cee7fe520595641409b71bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Nets | 51c | 111,542$56,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,592.26 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 51c | 87,895$44,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,750.05 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets | 50c | 49,110$24,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,556 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 50c | 30,553$15,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,425 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 50c | 29,240$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,739.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 49c | 24,884$12,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,639.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 48c | 24,218$11,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,611.29 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 49c | 22,341$11,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,294.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Nets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…a4cdbacked Rockets | 48c | 16,042$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,341.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Rockets | 52c | 9,569$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.82 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 56c | 7,754$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 51c | 7,649$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Nets | 53c | 6,388$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Rockets | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nets | 50c | 5,522$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.97 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Rockets | 49c | 5,479$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.68 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Nets | 42c | 4,770$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nets | 51c | 4,633$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.83 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.9 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 57c | 2,737$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Rockets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 48c | 2,002$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rockets | 52c | 1,733$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.86 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 51c | 1,394$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.07 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 42c | 1,140$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Nets | 39c | 1,100$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 44c | 1,100$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets | 54c | 927.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Rockets | 49c | 853.33$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.2 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Rockets | 51c | 843.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Nets | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rockets | 38c | 625$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Rockets | 52c | 578$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 52c | 549$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Rockets | 18c | 539.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.54 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Rockets | 51c | 502.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Rockets | 56c | 435.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 47c | 414.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Nets | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Nets | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nets | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Nets | 55c | 390.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Nets | 50c | 380.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Nets | 45c | 350.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Nets | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…ad86backed Rockets | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rockets | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Rockets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Nets | 53c | 217.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Nets | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Rockets | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nets | 51c | 168.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Rockets | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5f41backed Nets | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…56d3backed Nets | 50c | 103.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Nets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Nets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Rockets | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Nets | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Nets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Rockets | 53c | 96.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4720backed Rockets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…7566backed Rockets | 57c | 86.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…21e4backed Rockets | 65c | 77.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Rockets | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Rockets | 73c | 68.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…fa7bbacked Nets | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 49c | 60.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 51c | 51.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Rockets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Rockets | 50c | 48.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Nets | 42c | 47.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Rockets | 45c | 47.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Nets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Rockets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Nets | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Nets | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Nets | 51c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Nets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Rockets | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Rockets | 51c | 35.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nets | 34c | 32.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Nets | 57c | 32.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Rockets | 65c | 31.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Nets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -7.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Rockets | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Rockets | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Nets | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…c148backed Rockets | 51c | 25.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Rockets | 52c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Nets | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.