TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Nets51c111,542$56,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,592.2616846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets51c87,895$44,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,750.051,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets50c49,110$24,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,55650653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets50c30,553$15,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,4259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rockets50c29,240$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,739.822,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets49c24,884$12,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,639.235,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets48c24,218$11,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,611.2989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets49c22,341$11,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,294.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Nets48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6005541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6127…a4cdbacked Rockets48c16,042$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,341.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Rockets52c9,569$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.8226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets56c7,754$4,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets51c7,649$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,785.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Nets53c6,388$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Rockets49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06013260.6%80 W · 52 L+14.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nets50c5,522$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.971,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Rockets49c5,479$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.6836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Nets42c4,770$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.87140.8%29 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets51c4,633$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.8348343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets50c2,838$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets57c2,737$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Rockets48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3316442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets48c2,002$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rockets52c1,733$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.8671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets51c1,394$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.072,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets42c1,140$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Nets39c1,100$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.523250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets44c1,100$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6181,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets54c927.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Rockets49c853.33$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Rockets51c843.14$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Nets53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rockets38c625$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Rockets52c578$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4440648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets52c549$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Rockets18c539.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5439018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Rockets51c502.29$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1227161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24027547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Rockets56c435.22$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.59341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets47c414.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.582,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nets49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Nets13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5227435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Nets52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Nets55c390.62$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.571650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Nets50c380.62$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.893441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Nets45c350.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Nets47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14116539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5737…ad86backed Rockets60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rockets43c280$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Rockets45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2229346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Nets53c217.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.375255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rockets51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nets38c199.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Rockets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x170e…1a1abacked Rockets49c176$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.326339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nets51c168.57$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.161,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Rockets48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.256656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb351…5f41backed Nets48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb6…56d3backed Nets50c103.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Nets47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.139358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Nets48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4874547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Rockets59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4132148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Nets53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5337357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Nets51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Rockets53c96.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.46663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de7…4720backed Rockets52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157350.7%37 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa544…7566backed Rockets57c86.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6e…21e4backed Rockets65c77.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Rockets42c68.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9414061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Rockets73c68.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.354961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ef…fa7bbacked Nets47c63.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets49c60.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets51c51.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Rockets50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Rockets50c48.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0150648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Nets42c47.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Rockets45c47.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Nets55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Rockets49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8215440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked Nets41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Nets53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.214953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Nets51c39.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Nets53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Rockets50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Rockets51c35.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.485168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Nets34c32.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Nets57c32.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.266756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Rockets65c31.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0615959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Nets48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155626.8%15 W · 41 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Rockets56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.225058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Rockets54c27.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9629156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nets53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4546…c148backed Rockets51c25.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.542437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Rockets52c23.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5115149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Nets58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.