NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd6af1c36cc233f278be7a42905ad4d9f9b693105f7db54a9a8570ce1588db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 51c | 103,138$52,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,579.15 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 33,078$16,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,716.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 20,070$9,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,336.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 19,403$9,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,895.41 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 9,242$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.55 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…a46dbacked Under | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,561$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.38 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…540abacked Under | 52c | 1,554$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 815.94$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 815.17$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.28 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 811$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 51c | 784.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.63 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…4ff5backed Over | 49c | 679.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 542.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 55c | 339$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 52c | 191.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 36c | 131.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…c014backed Over | 53c | 126.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 96.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…bf45backed Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Over | 52c | 53.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 46c | 41.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 51c | 33.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Over | 51c | 33.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 48c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 51c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.