NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e9c30f7880d8cfa554309be7a67db5c09bddeb5022007c17fefb0022d1f8eb3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $194,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $190,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,290 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under	50c	100,000$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,000	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	42c	28,594$11,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,968.63	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over	50c	22,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	50c	17,500$8,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,750	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over	50c	10,520$5,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,265	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	35c	10,492$3,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,672.35	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	8,861$4,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,408.89	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over	50c	8,326$4,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,163	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	7,557$3,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,780.75	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	6,643$3,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,871.79	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	52c	5,075$2,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,435.82	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	28c	4,905$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.5	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over	50c	4,654$2,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,327	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Under	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	67c	3,998$2,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.43	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under	52c	3,780$1,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.53	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over	52c	2,603$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.63	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over	35c	2,377$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.47	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under	52c	2,222$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.56	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Under	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	50c	1,700$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over	50c	1,456$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over	50c	1,444$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722	314	55.1%173 W · 141 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d4…c38cbacked Over	44c	1,273$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.81	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over	4c	1,184$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over	51c	1,084$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.9	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	50c	1,048$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under	80c	999.88$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.98	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over	11c	965.84$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.24	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	51c	875$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.32	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Under	67c	747.03$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.03	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	312	49.4%154 W · 158 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over	50c	538$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over	50c	194.2$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under	61c	190$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.3	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a8…4bf7backed Over	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under	65c	152.51$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.12	45	80%36 W · 9 L	+12.1wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over	51c	147.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	162	61.7%100 W · 62 L	+15.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	10c	146.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a8…3c7cbacked Over	28c	144.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under	67c	98.51$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.51	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Over	50c	85.68$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Under	69c	73.91$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.91	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over	50c	58.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe1…cfbdbacked Over	38c	55.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over	50c	54.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x271c…4314backed Under	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	56.2%194 W · 151 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	291	56.4%164 W · 127 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8871…5163backed Over	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	48c	38.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.12	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Under	80c	31.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	52c	30.72$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over	50c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under	51c	27.27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.36	302	44%133 W · 169 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Over	50c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4322…06f0backed Over	44c	23.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over	52c	22.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
Rockets vs. NetsRockets won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event