CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02931d2a9ae6b263869c106f56540bb418de6e5dc2e492cfc7c48a85b740aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Spirit, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Spirit | 72c | 23,675$16,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,995.39 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed TheMongolz | 34c | 23,334$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,509.41 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 11,496$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.74 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked TheMongolz | 78c | 8,873$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.14 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit | 52c | 7,748$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.78 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed TheMongolz | 26c | 6,650$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 73c | 5,633$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.4 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed TheMongolz | 52c | 4,466$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.19 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 74c | 4,000$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 39c | 3,846$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.33 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed TheMongolz | 26c | 3,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.95 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Spirit | 32c | 3,722$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.47 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 27c | 3,621$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.09 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TheMongolz | 41c | 3,588$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.46 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Spirit | 75c | 3,300$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.28 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz | 24c | 3,300$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.02 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Spirit | 54c | 3,070$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.4 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 39c | 2,419$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit | 75c | 2,329$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Spirit | 72c | 2,266$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Spirit | 44c | 2,054$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.57 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Spirit | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Spirit | 50c | 1,615$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.12 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed TheMongolz | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Spirit | 73c | 1,600$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.99 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed TheMongolz | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 1,501$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.34 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…8390backed Spirit | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Spirit | 40c | 1,483$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed TheMongolz | 30c | 1,473$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.84 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…735fbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,459$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,420$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.88 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 1,409$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.26 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked Spirit | 15c | 1,356$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Spirit | 57c | 1,321$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.26 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 27c | 1,276$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.77 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Spirit | 44c | 1,211$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed Spirit | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked TheMongolz | 40c | 1,123$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.06 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spirit | 74c | 1,045$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed TheMongolz | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Spirit | 47c | 925.34$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed TheMongolz | 56c | 899.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…215fbacked Spirit | 34c | 894.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 43c | 858.76$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Spirit | 57c | 819.57$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 798.3$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.19 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 25c | 776.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 46c | 733.33$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed TheMongolz | 39c | 700$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed TheMongolz | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Spirit | 39c | 613.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…0b7bbacked Spirit | 48c | 591.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 577.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 561.38$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Spirit | 74c | 549.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.99 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…5ac7backed Spirit | 61c | 512.04$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Spirit | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Spirit | 69c | 471.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Spirit | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed TheMongolz | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f0dbacked Spirit | 68c | 433.66$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Spirit | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz | 55c | 400.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 386.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Spirit | 78c | 384.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Spirit | 36c | 370.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed TheMongolz | 47c | 306.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 306.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Spirit | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed TheMongolz | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed TheMongolz | 80c | 288.41$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TheMongolz | 33c | 287.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.82 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Spirit | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Spirit | 45c | 264.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Spirit | 45c | 252.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Spirit | 44c | 241.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Spirit | 41c | 231.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit | 54c | 204.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed TheMongolz | 31c | 193.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7809backed Spirit | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 26c | 192$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…203ebacked TheMongolz | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Spirit | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Spirit | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed TheMongolz | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Spirit | 49c | 174.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 74c | 170$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…5c8ebacked Spirit | 52c | 158.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Spirit | 37c | 158$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 69c | 156.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4b90backed Spirit | 9c | 152.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…4708backed Spirit | 78c | 151.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 148.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 133.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Spirit | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.