CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d93731140cf3dc83d569ac01e11218ce1a0a454dbfa8cf0f055a471221296f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Spirit, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 15,177$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spirit | 35c | 7,084$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.78 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 37c | 3,219$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.73 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spirit | 29c | 2,650$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.89 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 21c | 1,514$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Spirit | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 38c | 920.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Spirit | 38c | 777.72$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Spirit | 74c | 715.33$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Spirit | 32c | 655$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Spirit | 43c | 539.78$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 37c | 513.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spirit | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Spirit | 47c | 427.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 26c | 420.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.97 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 69c | 349.64$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 348.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…83f8backed TheMongolz | 62c | 343.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed Spirit | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Spirit | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Spirit | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Spirit | 27c | 190.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7809backed TheMongolz | 59c | 176.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked TheMongolz | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Spirit | 62c | 148.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Spirit | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Spirit | 58c | 119.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Spirit | 43c | 115.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Spirit | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed TheMongolz | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Spirit | 28c | 70.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed TheMongolz | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…88fbbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 63.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked Spirit | 53c | 61.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Spirit | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed TheMongolz | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Spirit | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed Spirit | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Spirit | 54c | 42.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…131ebacked Spirit | 42c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…c4b4backed Spirit | 48c | 30.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Spirit | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…55d2backed Spirit | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…cfbabacked Spirit | 47c | 25.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Spirit | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed TheMongolz | 62c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Spirit | 74c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.