CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eafc0320e03c276a322ad9015c1d9659424dd9aa25563984045e294d495df51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz | 12c | 5,951$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.42 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 4,662$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Spirit | 77c | 4,606$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TheMongolz | 26c | 4,012$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.64 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed TheMongolz | 23c | 3,652$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 22c | 3,350$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit | 58c | 2,645$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.17 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed TheMongolz | 34c | 1,832$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.92 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 1,236$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Spirit | 64c | 1,224$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.78 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz | 21c | 1,185$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed TheMongolz | 29c | 1,046$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 31c | 917.28$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.94 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 25c | 754.57$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.23 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 66c | 577$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 567.11$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 563.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Spirit | 62c | 561.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Spirit | 61c | 473.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Spirit | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 69c | 369$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 313.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed TheMongolz | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7809backed TheMongolz | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed TheMongolz | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed TheMongolz | 23c | 206.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz | 24c | 199.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…d6f6backed TheMongolz | 18c | 185.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed TheMongolz | 19c | 180.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed TheMongolz | 19c | 161.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Spirit | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…ce13backed TheMongolz | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 66c | 130.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 111.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Spirit | 63c | 91.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed TheMongolz | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 74.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Spirit | 65c | 72.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 77c | 58.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed TheMongolz | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 46.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…36e5backed TheMongolz | 44c | 44.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f4…eadebacked TheMongolz | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed TheMongolz | 38c | 31.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Spirit | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed TheMongolz | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Spirit | 76c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Spirit | 59c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…23ecbacked Spirit | 65c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Spirit | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.