Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfcf986ca60e9240877b80b448488e80f70031ea2063adb4f917f3f2426027ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Carabelli, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Carabelli | 14c | 150,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Carabelli | 19c | 34,467$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,548.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Carabelli | 20c | 19,436$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.22 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…0932backed Carabelli | 4c | 13,368$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Carabelli | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…103bbacked Carabelli | 7c | 8,561$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Carabelli | 13c | 7,620$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Carabelli | 2c | 7,209$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Carabelli | 20c | 6,521$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.78 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Zverev | 69c | 6,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.3 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Carabelli | 20c | 6,304$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.04 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Carabelli | 8c | 4,935$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Carabelli | 12c | 4,313$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Carabelli | 15c | 3,790$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.71 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…9cd4backed Carabelli | 7c | 3,769$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Carabelli | 15c | 3,627$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.31 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Zverev | 79c | 3,550$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Carabelli | 16c | 3,477$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Zverev | 77c | 3,251$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.02 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Carabelli | 28c | 3,055$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.48 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Carabelli | 8c | 3,028$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carabelli | 25c | 1,996$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Carabelli | 22c | 1,917$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Carabelli | 10c | 1,853$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Zverev | 74c | 1,500$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.24 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Carabelli | 7c | 1,319$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Carabelli | 11c | 1,239$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Carabelli | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Carabelli | 18c | 1,129$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…8e00backed Carabelli | 4c | 1,102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Zverev | 73c | 1,025$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Zverev | 71c | 1,007$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Carabelli | 19c | 1,005$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Carabelli | 23c | 1,004$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Carabelli | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…b06dbacked Carabelli | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…c287backed Carabelli | 19c | 899.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Zverev | 79c | 865.24$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…5d85backed Carabelli | 7c | 791.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +386.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Carabelli | 18c | 762.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Carabelli | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Carabelli | 18c | 614.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Carabelli | 35c | 600$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.86 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Carabelli | 26c | 582.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Zverev | 74c | 550$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Carabelli | 6c | 539.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…e548backed Carabelli | 19c | 533.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…aef0backed Carabelli | 12c | 528.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…cfbabacked Carabelli | 21c | 526.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Carabelli | 31c | 500$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Zverev | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Carabelli | 32c | 489.71$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Carabelli | 39c | 482.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Carabelli | 21c | 464.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Carabelli | 34c | 447.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Carabelli | 9c | 430$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc7…cf36backed Zverev | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Carabelli | 25c | 418.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Zverev | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Carabelli | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Carabelli | 27c | 367.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Carabelli | 13c | 367.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Zverev | 56c | 359.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Carabelli | 18c | 352$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Carabelli | 6c | 332.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Carabelli | 7c | 326$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…562cbacked Carabelli | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…1278backed Carabelli | 24c | 304.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Carabelli | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Carabelli | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Carabelli | 36c | 300.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Carabelli | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Carabelli | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Carabelli | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Carabelli | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Carabelli | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Carabelli | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Carabelli | 9c | 271.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Zverev | 74c | 266.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3d37backed Carabelli | 6c | 255.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Carabelli | 24c | 251.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zverev | 72c | 229$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Carabelli | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…091abacked Carabelli | 13c | 225.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Carabelli | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4fd6backed Carabelli | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…03c9backed Carabelli | 23c | 217.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Zverev | 74c | 217.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Carabelli | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Carabelli | 13c | 205$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1661backed Carabelli | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Zverev | 73c | 180.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…a890backed Zverev | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Zverev | 79c | 169.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Carabelli | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Carabelli | 31c | 160.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…4540backed Carabelli | 13c | 157.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Zverev | 47c | 155.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Carabelli | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Zverev | 80c | 150.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.