Champions League · resolved market
Will Pachuca vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8e080fa560b67ca7588075eca8a45507f4970c9fe1baccf15240c6dee2b780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 27c | 1,850$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 1,164$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.72 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 27c | 1,138$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 68c | 1,050$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 980.69$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.79 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 73c | 942.41$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 940$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 680$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 30c | 448$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Yes | 53c | 377.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 80c | 301$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 59c | 287.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 227.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 47c | 196$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 179.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 28c | 179.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 29c | 151.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 44c | 84.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…7ddebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 74c | 50.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed No | 75c | 31.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 73c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pachuca vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?this page
- Will Pachuca beat RB Salzburg?No won
- Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.