Champions League · resolved market
Will Pachuca beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0c7434385182d0078d1f7bc916723f1b5811bb763d3d624d0ec64e92026125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 65c | 2,958$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.75 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 35c | 1,695$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.23 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 38c | 1,055$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 41c | 980.39$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.72 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 35c | 697.19$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 43c | 654.57$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.01 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 38c | 612.68$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d8…2714backed Yes | 35c | 605$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 40c | 505.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f2…fc99backed No | 65c | 505$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 502.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 63c | 490.15$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 60c | 399.16$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 66c | 270.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 37c | 268.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 247$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…3671backed No | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f1edbacked Yes | 35c | 215$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 36c | 163$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefea…d2febacked Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…22b3backed No | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…4928backed Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…fe4ebacked Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 13c | 124.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 64c | 95.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…79adbacked No | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…4e1abacked No | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 63c | 72.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 70c | 71.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…2ab2backed Yes | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 68c | 43.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…7cf3backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…238abacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 36c | 31.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked No | 65c | 27.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pachuca beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will Pachuca vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.