NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b718cda594c8e56e255249af466085983e5d942ba39eacce6215fc5fb826c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 0c | 69,666$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards | 6c | 40,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Wizards | 13c | 25,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Wizards | 4c | 11,377$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.52 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Wizards | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards | 12c | 9,759$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.1 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Wizards | 14c | 9,140$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Wizards | 12c | 8,888$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…cd79backed Wizards | 6c | 8,631$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 0c | 8,560$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 13c | 7,297$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.46 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 13c | 7,137$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.86 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 1c | 6,800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 5,884$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 11c | 5,247$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards | 0c | 4,696$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Wizards | 14c | 4,651$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.87 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Wizards | 8c | 4,276$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.07 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wizards | 13c | 3,610$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…020fbacked Wizards | 13c | 3,452$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 6c | 3,431$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Wizards | 1c | 3,410$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards | 13c | 2,807$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.22 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 15c | 2,690$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.84 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Wizards | 13c | 2,600$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Wizards | 13c | 2,500$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…425dbacked Wizards | 13c | 2,140$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…587ebacked Wizards | 13c | 2,077$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 13c | 2,030$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 12c | 2,018$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Wizards | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards | 9c | 1,913$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Wizards | 13c | 1,846$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Wizards | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Wizards | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked Wizards | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Wizards | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…4808backed Wizards | 4c | 1,169$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wizards | 9c | 1,140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 5c | 1,103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards | 16c | 1,031$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Wizards | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…2ca9backed Wizards | 18c | 920$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Wizards | 12c | 810.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…7eb5backed Wizards | 14c | 784.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 14c | 735$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…4da1backed Wizards | 14c | 722.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…e3abbacked Wizards | 14c | 701.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd390…dc62backed Wizards | 15c | 651.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 13c | 575.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Wizards | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 73c | 520$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6823…9507backed Wizards | 14c | 510$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Wizards | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Wizards | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 13c | 486$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af5…d44ebacked Wizards | 4c | 475.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 13c | 474$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wizards | 13c | 469.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Wizards | 16c | 460.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Wizards | 16c | 424.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 13c | 404$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Wizards | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bf76backed Wizards | 4c | 399.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Wizards | 10c | 398.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c32…8994backed Wizards | 8c | 385.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Wizards | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Wizards | 3c | 374.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Wizards | 13c | 370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…739dbacked Wizards | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Wizards | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Wizards | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…eadbbacked Wizards | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Wizards | 14c | 249.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…f886backed Wizards | 14c | 232.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Wizards | 10c | 231.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Wizards | 13c | 222.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Wizards | 14c | 219.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 29.1%71 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Wizards | 14c | 209.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Wizards | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…6c3fbacked Wizards | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Wizards | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…ef8dbacked Wizards | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wizards | 13c | 199.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Wizards | 16c | 181.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…45dfbacked Wizards | 11c | 171.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…b997backed Wizards | 8c | 158.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Wizards | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…ee7cbacked Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 42.6%98 W · 132 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…788abacked Wizards | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.