CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1ef3562cea573e3d39442cbf3fdfd5d338fb583e957f8c36ac2d651812e3ee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 4,702$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 79c | 1,140$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…68eabacked Under | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Under | 25c | 800.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Over | 44c | 760$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 18c | 628.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 25c | 605.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 72c | 524.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Under | 40c | 500.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 25c | 499.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.37 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Under | 32c | 474.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.97 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…1106backed Over | 77c | 376.68$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Under | 75c | 375$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 60c | 367.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Under | 62c | 254.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 60c | 247.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 22c | 217.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 25c | 194.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Under | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 45c | 176.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 47c | 172.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…0d30backed Under | 59c | 151.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 38c | 141.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 80c | 138.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 73c | 107.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…415fbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 41c | 93.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 41c | 77.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 32c | 60.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…dcf0backed Under | 58c | 60.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Under | 18c | 59.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…f7b6backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…9138backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…9fedbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…066fbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…b299backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…6038backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…c720backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…5bd2backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba82…df47backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 67c | 33.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 46c | 31.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked Over | 73c | 13.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.