TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Medjedovicof Navone, Medjedovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Navone50c15,037$7,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,570.8911242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…ca34backed Medjedovic70c11,603$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.774060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Medjedovic65c6,734$4,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.7139144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Navone33c6,340$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.782,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Navone31c4,438$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.7533955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Medjedovic43c4,093$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.017,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Medjedovic69c3,025$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.754957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Medjedovic72c2,426$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.1511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Navone30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Medjedovic69c1,956$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.318158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Navone31c1,740$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Navone28c1,340$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.127733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Medjedovic10c1,080$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.22416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navone14c1,037$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.852,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Medjedovic17c1,000$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8351,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Medjedovic69c950$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2915444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Navone30c834.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.712,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Navone31c829$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9931332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Medjedovic67c822.55$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2325433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Medjedovic69c804.7$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Medjedovic70c771.23$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3314940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Navone27c671.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.971,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Medjedovic9c600$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5451368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Medjedovic35c500$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.161,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Medjedovic69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Navone20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Navone30c474.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Medjedovic71c457.63$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7114060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Medjedovic69c444$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6422344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Medjedovic80c425.05$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.032,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic65c404$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.47,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Medjedovic68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Navone37c371.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.974332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Medjedovic69c353.62$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.624555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Medjedovic71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Navone8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Navone29c281.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8319023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Navone27c274.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.281,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Navone30c268$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.41,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Medjedovic71c219.79$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7418863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Medjedovic8c200$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Medjedovic9c200$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Medjedovic66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811650.9%59 W · 57 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Navone10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x935b…a5cebacked Medjedovic70c195.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.784551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Navone32c190$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.822840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Navone31c190$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.95435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Navone30c187$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.143042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Medjedovic74c166.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.568,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0d…2bf7backed Navone30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33ec…0fb5backed Navone31c162$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Navone31c157.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662119%4 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Navone32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8f…8ed0backed Navone28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Medjedovic71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Medjedovic71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8533256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Medjedovic71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Medjedovic71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Navone16c127.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab3…9f95backed Navone32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Navone32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Navone20c95.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4228139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Medjedovic11c91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.999737.1%36 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Medjedovic64c88.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Medjedovic70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.712,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Medjedovic71c75.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8511553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Navone30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.27,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Medjedovic70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.438964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2352…4c5abacked Navone31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Medjedovic69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.971457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Medjedovic70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1416355.8%91 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Medjedovic69c54.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.260240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Navone30c51.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.717533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Navone41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Medjedovic20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Medjedovic70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Navone31c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…5bbfbacked Medjedovic69c40.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Medjedovic38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2592548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Medjedovic70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1249142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Medjedovic79c35.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.574566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Navone32c31.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.033043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x516f…9677backed Navone32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Navone50c29.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5111352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…9812backed Medjedovic72c24.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Medjedovic72c24.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.923764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Medjedovic70c24.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.365050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Medjedovic66c21.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2227627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Medjedovic67c20.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.735156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Medjedovic72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64050%20 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…d84dbacked Medjedovic76c19.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca17…9ca6backed Medjedovic70c18.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8747…8b5dbacked Medjedovic71c17.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.15170.6%36 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Medjedovic78c15.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…728abacked Medjedovic71c14.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.