Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ea65f7da62206394aba6bf1357f3b33171cbeea536ce561ef805133ce96c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 26,740$9,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,664.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Under | 0c | 26,536$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 0c | 17,247$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 1c | 9,724$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 0c | 9,676$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 65c | 7,095$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.72 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 6,751$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.98 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 50c | 4,031$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.39 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 3,209$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.42 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 76c | 2,630$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 61c | 2,400$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.97 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Over | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 50c | 1,619$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,605$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 49c | 1,031$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 46c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 972.52$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.52 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 894.28$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 19c | 800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 64c | 775.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 772.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Under | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 50c | 724.54$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 678.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 67c | 599.97$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 43c | 500$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.75 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 40c | 499.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 65c | 481.73$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 50c | 360.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 49c | 329.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 303.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 256.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 256.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3054backed Over | 60c | 228.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 52c | 220.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 42c | 214.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 50c | 199.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 53c | 191.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 51c | 180.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…d04bbacked Over | 80c | 168.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…3380backed Over | 51c | 156.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 155.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Over | 80c | 154.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 78c | 152.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 49c | 142.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…0748backed Over | 79c | 137.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…d0febacked Over | 48c | 136.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 79c | 135.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 20c | 121.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Under | 21c | 116.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 40c | 112.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 64c | 101.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 51c | 98.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 92.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 39c | 89.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 86.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed Over | 80c | 84.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 77.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 75.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 80c | 74.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 41c | 74.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 69c | 72.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 63.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 21c | 62.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 65c | 57.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 46c | 56.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 79c | 50.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 51c | 49.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 44c | 45.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…15adbacked Over | 49c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Under | 47c | 35.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 51c | 33.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5this page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.