Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x268e313c3f42d0250e5662291ca96731f6738db8c3035a2b720de1e2a129729b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 43c | 103,744$44,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,162.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 18,562$10,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,226.51 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 57c | 13,126$7,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,475.04 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 11,623$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.15 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 57c | 11,540$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,532.63 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 6,185$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 43c | 4,139$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.26 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Under | 44c | 3,934$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 2,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 57c | 2,764$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.43 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 27c | 2,576$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.49 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Over | 1c | 2,483$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 2,112$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 1,142$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.1 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 46c | 1,105$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.47 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 35c | 1,076$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 57c | 1,008$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 24c | 991.25$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Over | 57c | 875.44$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 845.48$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.51 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 842.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 782.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 13c | 631.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 57c | 630.4$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 617.14$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 602$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 57c | 504.8$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 39c | 420.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 23c | 382.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 57c | 382.42$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 349$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 58c | 344.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 23c | 330$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 49c | 326$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 57c | 317.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…b596backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 289.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Under | 45c | 284.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 47c | 265$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 53c | 262.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 26c | 259.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…869abacked Over | 57c | 232.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Over | 57c | 220.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Over | 26c | 207.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 42c | 202.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 31c | 194.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 55c | 193.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 66c | 181.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 56c | 178.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Over | 58c | 173.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Over | 56c | 167.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 164.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 29c | 155.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 26c | 148.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 15c | 135.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 31c | 133.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 26c | 129.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 57c | 129.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 40c | 126.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 26c | 125.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.